As we approach the November elections, a lot of words have popped into my mind. One of them is foolish, and another is stupid. I can easily apply those words to what has happened in politics that has made so many people angry.
The gripes come from both sides of the aisle. But there’s a sports term that best describes what the Trump administration has been doing. Those words are unforced error.
In football, if a receiver simply drops a pass, that’s an unforced error. In politics, it means a self-inflicted wound that could easily have been avoided. Come Nov. 3, I think those words will best define what will happen and why it will happen. While it’s true that the party in power tends to lose off-year elections, there have been too many unforced errors that will hurt the Republican Party.
In 1992, James Carville, then a strategist in Bill Clinton’s presidential campaign, came up with the now famous catch phrase “It’s the economy, stupid,” which cost President George H.W. Bush his job. Decades later, it did the same to President Joe Biden, who told America that things were just fine and the country was in good shape. And now President Trump calls affordability a “hoax,” which everyone, including his most loyal supporters, knows isn’t true.
The war against Iran was supposed to last a few days, and is now in its seventh month. I think if I had been a fly on the wall when the decision was made to start bombing Iran, I might have heard the generals warn Trump that doing so would have more downsides than upsides. I love America, but the wars in Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan didn’t go well, and a fight with a crazy enemy like Iran was a big gamble.
The proof of how badly it’s gone is the sky-high price of gasoline and, especially, diesel fuel. The blockage of ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz has created a worldwide fuel shortage that has been costly for American consumers and damaged our credibility. It is noble to go after any enemy that sponsors terrorism, but this “little excursion,” as Trump once described our latest war, has badly damaged the party in power.
The next unforced error is the tariff war. I know the president loves tariffs, but using them to pick on our friends and help our enemies is bad politics. Why fight with Canada when you could end the war in Ukraine with high tariffs on Russia? The president can deny it all he wants, but consumers are paying for tariffs on almost every item on store shelves, and the price increases are hurting people big time.
Every president has the right to pick whomever he wants to be in his cabinet. Trump has made quite a few controversial appointments, but none have been more costly to him than Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and “War Department” Secretary Pete Hegseth. Kennedy has caused the administration a great deal of grief with his anti-vaccine policies.
As of last week, there had been 3,659 confirmed measles cases in the United States this year. That marks the highest annual case count in the U.S. since measles was declared eliminated in 2000. Kennedy has denied all of the press claims about a measles epidemic, and chooses advisers based on their anti-measles policies.
Hegseth has made many enemies for the administration with his firing of a number of career military officials. In many of those cases, the ousted officials were women or Black. His handling of the issues aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier has alienated countless members of the military. There have been reports of at least eight suicide attempts by members of the ship’s crew because it was deployed far longer than normal.
Sadly, for those elected officials who have performed well in office, one unforced error after another will make it more difficult to get voter support. There’s no doubt, however, that the state of the economy is the biggest of all of the administration’s errors, and it’s highly likely that, once again, James Carville will be proven right on Nov. 3.
Jerry Kremer was a state assemblyman for 23 years, and chaired the Assembly’s Ways and Means Committee for 12 years. He currently chairs the Capitol Insight Group, a government relations firm. Comments? jkremer@liherald.com.